An NPR/PBS News Hour/Marist poll in October found that 45% of adults said the issue of tax cuts made them more likely to vote for Democrats, while only 39% said it would make them likely to vote for Republicans.The 2018 election exit poll found that just 28% of Americans said the Republican tax cuts benefitted them, while 45% said they had no effect.An October Gallup poll found that 64% of Americans said they had received no increase in their paychecks from the tax cuts as President Trump had promised.In mid-October, just 40% of voters approved of the tax law based on an average of all polls maintained by Real Clear Politics.Note: there is overlap in the data between “healthcare” and “ACA/Health Reform” and “tax” and “tax reform” issues so these categories are not cumulative. Source: Data from Wesleyan Media Project analyzed by Americans for Tax Fairness and available at. Health care was mentioned in 52% of Democratic TV ads, highlighting GOP plans to cut Medicare and Medicaid, repeal the Affordable Care Act, eliminate coverage for preexisting conditions and spike health costs through the so-called “age tax,” which makes insurance premiums more expensive for the elderly-issues that are tied to the vote on the tax cut law. It was the subject of only 9% of all TV ads and 12% of all GOP TV ads, demonstrating that tax cuts have lost their potency as an issue. Healthcare was the subject of 40% of all TV ads.īut the Trump-GOP tax cut law itself was largely removed as an issue from campaign ads and messaging by Republican candidates. Tax issues were 23% of all TV ads and 33% of all GOP TV ads from Jan. Tax issues were the second most heavily TV-advertised issue in federal races in 2018 – and the top issue in ads purchased by GOP candidates, according to data from the Wesleyan Media Project and analyzed by ATF. The threat the tax cuts pose to funding key services like Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid was a far more potent and effective message than the promise of lower taxes or threats of a tax increase.It should close the book on the typical and tired GOP strategy that tax cuts favoring the wealthy and well-connected will trickle down to working families and the middle class. The outcome of key races where taxes and the tax cut law were factors demonstrate that the 2018 election has put to rest the belief that promising voters tax cuts works as a winning campaign message.52% of Democratic ads were about health care general tax issues were second at 16% and 7% on the Trump-GOP tax law.Just 12% of GOP ads were about the Trump-GOP tax law. One-third of all GOP TV ads in 2018 were about tax issues in general-the most of any issue (healthcare was second at 25%).Republican candidates for Congress ran hard on tax issues – either accusing their Democratic opponents of favoring tax increases or, less frequently, supporting the Trump-GOP tax law – but they lost their majority in the House to many candidates who ran against the tax cuts and their potential threats to services like Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security.

Prior to the November vote, pollsters for the Republican National Committee found that the GOP had “lost the messaging battle on the issue.” By 2 to 1, voters said the law benefits “large corporations and rich Americans” over “middle class families.” They also found that “he challenge for GOP candidates is that most voters believe that the GOP wants to cut back on (Medicare and Social Security) in order to provide tax breaks for corporations and the wealthy.”.

House of Representatives were a clear rejection of President Trump’s tax and economic policies that favor the wealthy and corporations over working families.

The November midterm election results in the U.S.

Mia love election results nytimes